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Does the ganzfeld produce replicable evidence for telepathy?

10 min read
Supporting (20) Critical (8)
28
Total Papers

Quick Summary

The ganzfeld protocol β€” in which a "receiver" in sensory deprivation attempts to identify a target being viewed by a remote "sender" β€” is the single most debated experimental paradigm in parapsychology.

The central question is whether the hit rate (typically reported around 32% against a 25% chance baseline) reflects genuine anomalous information transfer or persistent methodological and statistical artifacts.

Current Consensus

The ganzfeld remains one of parapsychology's most-replicated paradigms, but the debate turns on study inclusion criteria and quality thresholds. Pro-psi meta-analyses (Storm 2010, 2020) find a robust effect across 108 studies spanning 1992-2018 with no decline over 44 years (ES~0.13 for ganzfeld); critical meta-analyses (Milton & Wiseman 1999) argue the effect vanishes when stricter quality filters are applied, and Rouder et al. (2013) attribute much of the effect to manually randomized studies. The impasse reflects deeper disagreements about what counts as an adequate control in this domain. New work using neuroimaging (Moulton & Kosslyn 2008) has generally not supported the effect, while behavioral ganzfeld studies continue to produce above-chance hit rates, particularly with selected participants. The 2024 Tressoldi & Storm registered-report meta-analysis adds pre-registered rigor to the pro-psi position.

Evidence Breakdown

Based on 28 papers

Supporting Evidence

1994

Does Psi Exist? Replicable Evidence for an Anomalous Process of Information Transfer

Bem & Honorton (1994) -- Autoganzfeld experiments yield 32% hit rate (z=2.89, p=.002, 329 sessions) with automated computer-controlled protocols; reviews 28 prior ganzfeld studies (composite z=6.60...

2010

Meta-Analysis of Free-Response Studies, 1992–2008: Assessing the Noise Reduction Model in Parapsychology

Storm, Tressoldi & Di Risio (2010) -- Meta-analysis of free-response studies (1992-2008) finds significant cumulative effect

2020

Meta-Analysis of Free-Response Studies 2009-2018: Assessing the Noise-Reduction Model Ten Years On

Storm & Tressoldi (2020) -- 10-year update meta-analysis (2009-2018): 43 new studies combined with 1992-2008 databases yield k=108 total; ganzfeld (k=38) ES=0.133, 95% CI [0.071, 0.194], Stouffer Z...

2010

Extrasensory Perception and Quantum Models of Cognition

Tressoldi, Storm & Radin (2010) -- Narrative review synthesizing all six ganzfeld meta-analyses (108 studies, 4,196 trials): overall hit rate 31.5% vs. 25% chance, Ο€ = 0.58 (95% CI .56–.60, z = 9.9...

2001

Does Psi Exist? Comments on Milton and Wiseman's (1999) Meta-Analysis of Ganzfeld Research

Storm & Ertel (2001) -- Rebuttal to Milton & Wiseman (1999); unified 79 ganzfeld/autoganzfeld studies yielding ES = 0.138, Z = 5.66, p = 7.78 Γ— 10⁻⁹; 31% hit rate vs. 25% MCE; significant bidirecti...

2001

Updating the Ganzfeld Database: A Victim of Its Own Success?

Bem, Palmer & Broughton (2001) -- Meta-analysis of 40 post-1987 ganzfeld studies: 10 new studies yield 36.7% hit rate (Z=3.97, p=3.5Γ—10⁻⁡); all 40 combined yield 30.1% (Z=2.59, p=.0048). Three inde...

2017

On the Correspondence Between Dream Content and Target Material Under Laboratory Conditions: A Meta-Analysis of Dream-ESP Studies, 1966-2016

Storm et al. (2017) -- Meta-analysis of 50 dream-ESP studies (1966-2016) yields ES=0.20, Stouffer Z=5.32, p=5.19Γ—10^-8; both Maimonides and non-MDL studies significant

1985

Psychology and Anomalous Observations: The Question of ESP in Dreams

Child (1985) -- Independent reanalysis of Maimonides dream ESP data in *American Psychologist*: hits exceeded misses on 15 of 15 segments (sign test p < .0001); combined p < .000002 for outside jud...

1994

The Einstein-Podolsky-Rosen Paradox in the Brain: The Transferred Potential

Grinberg-Zylberbaum et al. (1994) -- Foundational 'transferred potential' study: 7 pairs meditated together then separated into Faraday chambers 14.5 m apart; ~25% of pairs showed transferred poten...

2003

Evidence of Correlated Functional Magnetic Resonance Imaging Signals Between Distant Human Brains

Standish et al. (2003) -- First fMRI demonstration of distant brain correlations: receiver in Faraday-shielded MRI scanner showed significant BOLD activation (P < .001) in visual cortex areas 18-19...

2004

Electroencephalographic Evidence of Correlated Event-Related Signals Between the Brains of Spatially and Sensory Isolated Human Subjects

Standish et al. (2004) -- Largest EEG correlation study (N=60, 30 pairs): 5 of 60 subjects (8.3%) showed significant brain activation (p<0.01) during partner's flicker condition; Stouffer z=-3.28 (...

2004

Event-Related Electroencephalographic Correlations Between Isolated Human Subjects

Radin (2004) -- Extends Grinberg-Zylberbaum's transferred-potential paradigm: 13 pairs had EEGs recorded while the sender was stimulated by receiver's live video image; receiver in double steel-wal...

2005

Replicable Functional Magnetic Resonance Imaging Evidence of Correlated Brain Signals Between Physically and Sensory Isolated Subjects

Richards et al. (2005) -- fMRI and EEG study of one pre-selected pair: subject DW showed significant BOLD activation in visual cortex BA 17/18/19 correlated with isolated partner's flickering stimu...

2011

Mental Connection at Distance: Useful for Solving Difficult Tasks?

Tressoldi et al. (2011) -- Forced-choice telepathy without sensory deprivation: Exp1 (N=40) Chinese ideogram identification with distant helper yielded 10.3% above MCE (ES=0.44, BF10=23.8); Exp2 (N...

2011

Extraordinary Claims Require Extraordinary Evidence: The Case of Non-Local Perception, a Classical and Bayesian Review of Evidences

Tressoldi (2011) -- Bayesian meta-analysis of ganzfeld database yields BF=18.8 million in favor of H1, arguing this meets "extraordinary evidence" standard

1997

Meta-Analysis of Free-Response ESP Studies Without Altered States of Consciousness

Milton (1997) -- Meta-analysis of 78 non-ganzfeld free-response ESP studies (1964–1992): mean ES = 0.16, Stouffer Z = 5.72, p < 5.4 Γ— 10⁻⁹ across 2,682 trials; file-drawer of 866 null studies neede...

1991

Replication and Meta-Analysis in Parapsychology

Utts (1991) -- Survey of four psi meta-analyses in *Statistical Science* concludes autoganzfeld hit rate of 34.4% (p=0.00005, h=0.20) constitutes an anomalous effect needing explanation; includes c...

1986

A Joint CommuniquΓ©: The Psi Ganzfeld Controversy

Hyman & Honorton (1986) -- Joint communiquΓ© by the leading skeptic and leading proponent replacing a planned exchange. Both authors agree the ganzfeld database shows "an overall significant effect ...

2014

Explicit Anomalous Cognition: A Review of the Best Evidence in Ganzfeld, Forced-choice, Remote Viewing and Dream Studies

Baptista, Derakhshani & Tressoldi (2014) -- Comprehensive review of ganzfeld evidence including new analyses of Storm et al. (2010) database; selected participants produce 40.1% hit rate vs. 27.3% ...

2024

Stage 2 Registered Report: Anomalous Perception in a Ganzfeld Condition - A Meta-Analysis of More Than 40 Years Investigation

Tressoldi & Storm (2024) -- Stage 2 Registered Report meta-analysis of 78 ganzfeld studies (113 effect sizes, 1974-2020): overall ES = 0.08 (95% CI [0.04, 0.12]; BF₁₀ = 89.5); passes 4 publication ...

Critical Evidence

1999

Does Psi Exist? Lack of Replication of an Anomalous Process of Information Transfer

Milton & Wiseman (1999) -- Meta-analysis of post-1987 ganzfeld studies finds no significant effect, suggesting earlier results were driven by methodological flaws

1994

Anomaly or Artifact? Comments on Bem and Honorton

Hyman (1994) -- Reanalysis of autoganzfeld data finds hit rate strongly correlated with target occurrence frequency (Spearman r = .83, p = .013) and a significant target-occurrence Γ— experimenter-p...

1996

Evaluation of a Program on Anomalous Mental Phenomena

Hyman (1996) -- Commissioned evaluation of SRI/SAIC program argues autoganzfeld data show key inconsistencies: static targets yielded zero effect size despite comprising the bulk of the original ga...

2010

Meta-Analysis That Conceals More Than It Reveals: Comment on Storm et al. (2010)

Hyman (2010) -- Commentary on Storm et al.'s ganzfeld meta-analysis demonstrating that apparent consistency is manufactured by outlier removal, combining heterogeneous databases, and confusing fail...

2005

Why Most Published Research Findings Are False

Ioannidis (2005) -- The mathematical framework explaining why small-sample ganzfeld studies (typically n < 50 per lab) with small effects (~32% hit rate vs 25% chance) are likely false positives; i...

2008

Using Neuroimaging to Resolve the Psi Debate

Moulton & Kosslyn (2008) -- Harvard fMRI study with 16 sender-receiver pairs (including twins, couples): behavioral guessing at exact chance (50.0%, 3,687 trials), no significant brain activation d...

2016

Testing for Questionable Research Practices in a Meta-Analysis: An Example from Experimental Parapsychology

Bierman, Spottiswoode & Bijl (2016) -- Monte Carlo simulation of seven QRPs applied to 78 post-1985 ganzfeld studies: with realistic QRP prevalence rates, simulations account for ~60% of the report...

2013

A Bayes Factor Meta-Analysis of Recent Extrasensory Perception Experiments: Comment on Storm, Tressoldi, and Di Risio (2010)

Rouder, Morey & Province (2013) -- Bayesian reanalysis of Storm et al.'s (2010) 67 free-response studies: full dataset yields BF₁₀ β‰ˆ 6 billion, but manually randomized studies show significantly hi...